An acquaintance was bemoaning his perennial lack of luck a few weeks back, this being his fifth year on the waiting list for luxury Rolex Sky-Dweller replica watches. In fact, he’s lucky to even be on a list given how things have been for many whose dream of a Rolex has been, well, just that. “No history of multiple purchases with us before? Sorry, but . . .”

Rolex is reportedly producing about a million watches a year, so the question hanging in barren boutiques is “where are they going?” Adding insult to incredulity, clock onto a site like Chrono24 and you’ll find literally hundreds of 1:1 UK Rolex fake watches listed for sale, albeit at a higher price than new, but unworn with box and papers.

Hunt around online a bit and you’ll even find new Submariners being offered via lotteries. The price difference compared with buying in a boutique varies per model and fluctuates all the time, but you can expect to pay $10,000 more for a Rolex via the grey market. Sometimes the price is double. So where are these perfect replica Rolex watches coming from, given Rolex has a policy of not tolerating its dealers selling their wares via back channels into this so-called grey market?

I asked an industry insider if he could explain the puzzling famine-and-feast scenario affecting Rolex more than any other brand. His response: “It’s interesting, isn’t it? . . . it has to be the magic possible with creative allocation.” Is he suggesting an authorised dealer or employee would risk incurring Rolex’s wrath by diverting hard-won stock away from the showroom and selling out the back door for a premium? Those Submariners on the grey market are certainly not coming directly from Rolex.

While they might be readily available, it still makes sense to buy your top Rolex copy watches new and from an authorised dealer – if you can – because they’re officially obliged to sell it for the listed price and not a cent more. And if you’re in a hurry? Welcome to the bizarre situation where a Rolex certified pre-owned model from the same dealer can cost more than a new one. Given such an opaque state of affairs, does 2024 bring any good news for a determined devotee?

Well, the pendulum always swings. The first piece of good news is that cheap Rolex replica watches is ramping up production.

New facilities employing 2000 are planned in Bulle, Switzerland, along with three temporary facilities coming on stream as early as this year. They join the brand’s other Swiss sites in Geneva (administration and assembly), Biel (movements), Plan-les-Ouates (cases and bracelets) and Chêne-Bourg (dials and gems). Rolex, which doesn’t comment on production figures, nonetheless noted in a statement that its new facilities will allow it “to expand its production capacity, support growth and meet ever-increasing demand”. In other words, your Rolex should be easier to get soonish.

A second hint of glad tidings comes from retailers who are reportedly seeing a stronger supply of steel models than in the recent past, and fewer models in precious metals being allocated. Anecdotal evidence from purchasers likewise suggests an easing of wait times, sometimes halving, but this varies widely across models and location. My friend’s aforementioned Sky-Dweller, the AAA fake Rolex GMT-Master II “Pepsi” model, Submariner Date and Cosmograph Daytona watches can still involve multi-year waits but you may well have better luck with two-tone Datejusts, smaller models and some jewelled pieces.

Finally, while the asking price on the grey market for pre-owned hard-to-get models is still considerably higher than the sticker price, there are signs of a softening. Reputable website WatchPro reports some watches losing half their inflated value in the past 18 months, a trend also noted by specialists such as Richemont-owned Watchfinder and Chrono24, the largest online marketplace.

The latter cut jobs last year after price falls for sought-after Rolex, Audemars Piguet and Patek models. Bloomberg reports that the Subdial50 index of the most-traded watches dipped by some 33 per cent, meaning the premium you have to pay for instant gratification may no longer be as daunting.

That said, the real value in Rolex super clone watches for sale surely lies in what it delivers for the retail price, not to mention the satisfaction of avoiding the grifters and flippers. In which case you’ll need to understand the landscape if you’re to successfully source one. First, the waiting list is in reality nothing of the sort: it’s a list of people interested in a particular model, and progress up that list is, in fact, random.

Second, while this situation stems from supply not meeting demand, it’s policed not by Swiss movements replica Rolex watches, but by its authorised dealers. This means you’ll need to develop a strategy for getting to know them – whether through pestering or purchases, say smaller items if you’re not an existing customer.

As for more detailed advice, online forums are full of it – down to which day of the week (Friday) is supposedly best for an unannounced visit to a boutique. Above all, the words of a friend in the business ring true – “persistence with politeness (and a purchase or two) is the key, and don’t be afraid to game the system”.

This might mean angling for a position on the waiting lists of several boutiques, not that we’d encourage such a thing. As you’ve probably gathered, the number of games that are already being played in the watch world would fill Rod Laver Arena.